[ RASP UK Forecast (Stratus) ]




BLIP Quality Check

To help understand if the RASP forecast is matching the real world, an experimental script has been put together that will compare a RASP 'spot' forecast against a METAR observation (a real-world airfield met observation).

These observations are produced hourly or so.

The following table is a summary for the UK, using the script outlined below the table and map. The table is produced from 09:00 to 18:00 on the hour and every half hour during UK daylight hours.

A spatial map of the reports can be found here.


The following plot will show a running view of the percentage of measures as correct between the forecast and the RASP prediction. Normally for the whole of the UK, 85% or higher indicates RASP is close enough and can be relied upon.


This report: 17:42:22 26/06/2019 for this map view. This run created in 80.66 secs

MarkLocationTime
RASP
METAR
Dry
Temp
° C
RASP
METAR
Diff
° C
Dew Pt
° C
RASP
METAR
Diff
° C
Cloud
Base
ft
RASP
METAR
Diff
ft
Pressure
mb
RASP
METAR
Diff
mb
Wind
Dir °
RASP
METAR
Diff
°
Wind
Speed
kts
RASP
METAR
Diff
kts
ARAF Wattisham
52.1239N 0.9573W
1730
1720
17.83
16
-1.83
13.23
13
-0.23
2171
1200
-971
1028.8
1029
0.2
35
040
5
16
12
-4
BCambridge A/P
52.2050N 0.1750W
1730
1720
18.32
16
-2.32
13.92
12
-1.92
1939
1600
-339
1029.2
1029
-0.2
35
040
5
16
12
-4
DRAF Cosford
52.6400N -2.3056E
1700
1650
19.70
16
-3.7
14.72
13
-1.72
2517
1200
-1317
1029.4
1030
0.6
71
070
1
12
11
-1
RAF Culdrose
50.0843N -5.2571E
1730
1719
20.52
23
2.48
17.87
17
-0.87
1284
2400
1116
1022.4
1021
-1.4
84
060
24
22
19
-3
FExeter A/P
50.7372N -3.4058E
1730
1720
22.72
24
1.28
18.23
18
-0.23
2075
2400
325
1024.8
1024
-0.8
59
030
29
17
13
-4
RAF Odiham
51.2391N -0.9450E
1730
1720
22.02
20
-2.02
16.95
15
-1.95
2540
2000
-540
1026.4
1026
-0.4
44
030
14
19
14
-5
IRAF Wittering
52.6114N -0.4612E
1700
1650
16.28
15
-1.28
12.81
12
-0.81
1710
1200
-510
1030.0
1030
0
55
040
15
15
14
-1
RAF Fairford
51.68135N -1.79109E
1700
1656
20.63
17.8
-2.83
16.77
14.3
-2.47
1996
1400
-596
1027.3
1028
0.7
58
58
17
-17
JRAF Shawbury
52.7947N -2.6647E
1700
1650
19.46
17
-2.46
14.69
13
-1.69
2391
1600
-791
1029.5
1030
0.5
84
100
16
11
10
-1
KRAF Benson
51.6203N -1.0987E
1730
1720
19.54
18
-1.54
15.85
14
-1.85
1888
1600
-288
1027.6
1028
0.4
46
030
16
19
14
-5
LCambel Town
55.4372N -5.6864E
1730
1720
14.24
16
1.76
11.54
12
0.46
1294
1600
306
1032.4
1031
-1.4
321
270
51
8
9
1
MRAF Valley
53.2527N -4.5365E
1730
1722
17.08
18
0.92
13.85
13
-0.85
1478
2000
522
1029.9
1029
-0.9
44
030
14
14
15
1
NLydd A/P
50.9561N 0.9392W
1730
1720
17.79
18
0.21
14.43
15
0.57
1473
1200
-273
1026.6
1026
-0.6
48
040
8
20
20
0
ODundee A/P
56.4525N -3.0258E
1730
1720
15.12
17
1.88
10.80
12
1.2
1985
2000
15
1030.8
1031
0.2
187
100
87
9
9
0
PRAF Kinloss
57.6456N -3.5635E
1700
1650
17.79
17
-0.79
11.17
11
-0.17
2910
2400
-510
1031.2
1031
-0.2
312
340
28
16
10
-6
QNorwich A/P
52.6333N 1.3000W
1730
1720
15.65
14
-1.65
11.33
12
0.67
1666
800
-866
1029.9
1030
0.1
23
020
3
15
10
-5
SLuton A/P
51.8747N -0.3683E
1730
1720
19.03
16
-3.03
15.10
14
-1.1
2129
800
-1329
1028.3
1029
0.7
39
040
1
18
13
-5
TCardiff Intl A/P
51.3967N -3.3433E
1730
1720
21.46
19
-2.46
16.90
15
-1.9
2103
1600
-503
1026.1
1026
-0.1
63
050
13
22
16
-6
UNewcastle A/P
55.0375N -1.6917E
1730
1720
14.03
14
-0.03
7.21
10
2.79
3196
1600
-1596
1032.2
1032
-0.2
54
080
26
7
5
-2
VBelfast / Aldergrove A/P
54.6633N -6.2258E
1730
1720
17.89
18
0.11
13.32
11
-2.32
2259
2800
541
1031.4
1032
0.6
18
360
18
8
11
3
WManchester A/P
53.3537N -2.2750E
1730
1720
20.31
17
-3.31
13.86
12
-1.86
3048
2000
-1048
1030.0
1030
0
84
050
34
9
8
-1
XGlasgow A/P
55.8719N -4.4331E
1730
1720
20.49
22
1.51
12.24
12
-0.24
3733
4000
267
1031.2
1031
-0.2
287
250
37
7
4
-3
YEdinburgh A/P
55.9500N -3.3500E
1730
1720
19.57
17
-2.57
10.75
13
2.25
3994
1600
-2394
1031.1
1031
-0.1
10
050
40
1
8
7
ZHeathrow A/P
51.4775N -0.4614E
1730
1720
21.87
21
-0.87
16.01
15
-1.01
2734
2400
-334
1026.9
1027
0.1
48
050
2
17
10
-7
1Southampton A/P
50.9499N -1.3585E
1730
1720
24.09
22
-2.09
15.96
14
-1.96
3267
3200
-67
1025.5
1025
-0.5
57
060
3
17
10
-7
2Leeds A/P
53.8618N -1.6653E
1730
1720
17.01
13
-4.01
11.02
10
-1.02
3118
1200
-1918
1031.1
1031
-0.1
34
040
6
11
6
-5
3Dublin A/P
53.4215N -6.2977E
1730
1730
15.25
17
1.75
11.79
12
0.21
1667
2000
333
1030.8
1031
0.2
48
050
2
13
12
-1
Stornaway A/P
58.2156N -6.3311E
1730
1720
15.25
14
-1.25
11.46
10
-1.46
1610
1600
-10
1032.8
1033
0.2
305
280
25
13
9
-4
4Tiree
56.5000N -6.8828E
1730
1720
13.53
14
0.47
11.56
11
-0.56
872
1200
328
1033.9
1033
-0.9
344
360
16
13
16
3
5Benbecula
57.4811N -7.3628E
1730
1720
11.00
14
3
10.72
10
-0.72
142
1600
1458
1034.2
1034
-0.2
301
320
19
12
11
-1
6Ronaldsway A/P
54.0853N -4.6320E
1730
1720
14.13
18
3.87
11.22
12
0.78
1774
2400
626
1030.9
1030
-0.9
56
060
4
11
8
-3
RAF Boulmer
55.4209N -1.6012E
1700
1650
10.75
13
2.25
8.01
9
0.99
1244
1600
356
1032.2
1032
-0.2
25
040
15
3
7
4
Aberdeen A/P
57.2049N -2.2053E
1730
1720
19.16
19
-0.16
11.29
10
-1.29
3718
3600
-118
1030.7
1031
0.3
316
350
34
11
8
-3
Birmingham A/P
52.4602N -1.7576E
1730
1720
18.99
16
-2.99
14.67
13
-1.67
2242
1200
-1042
1029.2
1030
0.8
50
050
0
14
10
-4
Humberside A/P
53.5744N -0.3508E
1730
1720
14.23
14
-0.23
10.75
11
0.25
1588
1200
-388
1031.4
1031
-0.4
41
030
11
13
11
-2
Staverton A/P
51.8923N -2.1608E
1730
1720
21.26
18
-3.26
16.64
15
-1.64
2166
1200
-966
1027.7
1028
0.3
54
040
14
15
11
-4
Islay A/P
55.6814N -6.2498E
1730
1720
15.87
16
0.13
10.56
10
-0.56
2414
2400
-14
1032.8
1032
-0.8
353
340
13
12
15
3
Eglinton A/P
55.0428N -7.1611E
1730
1720
14.46
17
2.54
9.42
11
1.58
2290
2400
110
1033.0
1033
0
38
030
8
13
13
0
Southend A/P
51.5714N 0.6956W
1730
1720
17.63
19
1.37
13.15
14
0.85
1735
2000
265
1028.0
1028
0
62
040
22
17
12
-5
Biggin Hill A/P
51.3308N 0.0325W
1730
1720
18.87
19
0.13
15.61
16
0.39
1859
1200
-659
1027.1
1028
0.9
65
040
25
17
14
-3
London City A/P
51.5053N 0.0553W
1730
1720
21.28
20
-1.28
15.47
15
-0.47
2339
2000
-339
1027.3
1028
0.7
68
060
8
15
12
-3
East Midlands A/P
52.8311N -1.3281E
1730
1720
18.42
14
-4.42
13.89
12
-1.89
2161
800
-1361
1030.1
1031
0.9
61
040
21
13
10
-3
Doncaster A/P
53.4747N -1.0044E
1730
1720
17.79
14
-3.79
12.30
11
-1.3
2395
1200
-1195
1030.9
1032
1.1
62
040
22
11
7
-4
Liverpool A/P
53.3340N -2.8500E
1730
1720
18.09
19
0.91
12.93
13
0.07
3202
2400
-802
1029.7
1030
0.3
62
080
18
9
11
2
Wick A/P
58.4589N -3.0931E
1730
1720
14.96
14
-0.96
11.80
10
-1.8
1455
1600
145
1030.3
1031
0.7
296
310
14
21
21
0


Table Averages
Difference Averages: Dry: -0.68° C - Wet: -0.59° C - Wind Speed: -2.4 Knots (RASP High) - Wind Deviation: 18.8 Degrees - Pressure: -0 mb - Cloudbase: -364 ft
Difference calculations based on actual minus the forecast.
Averages that are greater than +/- 2 Celcius indicates forecast widely differs from actuals.

Table Key
Highlight thresholds: Wind is 30° - Wind Speed is 7 kts - Temperature is 3° C - Cloudbase is 1500 feet - Pressure is 1.6 mb (not reported upon)

Notes and Observations
EGNC (C) Carlisle A/P - METAR report more than six hours old (147 hours) for EGNC - report not usable.
EGUO (R) Colerne - METAR report more than six hours old (3162 hours) for EGUO - report not usable.
EGBE (8) Coventry A/P - METAR report more than six hours old (16995 hours) for EGBE - report not usable.


The script is a bit slow, so sometimes the results may not be available as an auto-generated static view.

If this happens, click here to dynamically re-generate the table as a separate page.

If there is a problem with the output, click here to get a copy of the last generated text table.

Regional  Atmospheric  Soaring  Prediction
BLIPMAP FORECASTS For Great Britain
The Webmaster makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information held herein or its fitness for any purpose whatsoever. In no event will the Webmaster be held liable for any direct, indirect, special incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of the information held on this server.
BLIPMAP = Boundary Layer Information Prediction MAP - Created by Dr. John W. (Jack) Glendening, Meteorologist