[ RASP UK Forecast (Stratus) ]


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BLIP Quality Check

To help understand if the RASP forecast is matching the real world, an experimental script has been put together that will compare a RASP 'spot' forecast against a METAR observation (a real-world airfield met observation).

These observations are produced hourly or so.

The following table is a summary for the UK, using the script outlined below the table and map. The table is produced from 09:00 to 18:00 on the hour and every half hour during UK daylight hours.


This report: 09:41:31 25/05/2017 for this map view. This run created in 29.8 secs


Map Key
Green marker means inside thresholds (one metric outside is shown light green).
Yellow marker means two metrics outside thresholds.
Red marker means three metrics outside thresholds.
Blue marker means report not available or similar.

Notes and Observations
EGUO (R) Colerne - METAR report more than six hours old (1511 hours) for EGUO - report not usable.

Table Key
Highlight thresholds: Wind is 30° - Wind Speed is 7 kts - Temperature is 3° C - Cloudbase is 1500 feet - Pressure is 1.6 mb (not reported upon)

Table Averages
Difference Averages: Dry: 0.06° C - Wet: -0.34° C - Wind Speed: -2.07 Knots (RASP High) - Wind Deviation: 65.1 Degrees - Pressure: 0.3 mb
Difference calculations based on actual minus the forecast.
Averages that are greater than +/- 2 Celcius indicates forecast widely differs from actuals.

MarkLocationTime
RASP
METAR
Dry
Temp
° C
RASP
METAR
Diff
° C
Dew Pt
° C
RASP
METAR
Diff
° C
Cloud
Base
ft
RASP
METAR
Diff
ft
Pressure
mb
RASP
METAR
Diff
mb
Wind
Dir °
RASP
METAR
Diff
°
Wind
Speed
kts
RASP
METAR
Diff
kts
ARAF Wattisham
52.1239N 0.9573W
900
0850
18.03
18
-0.03
14.26
15
0.74
1842
1200
-642
1025.5
1025
-0.5
151
160
9
6
4
-2
BCambridge A/P
52.2050N 0.1750W
930
0920
20.35
21
0.65
15.82
15
-0.82
2034
2400
366
1024.8
1025
0.2
159
VRB
0
5
2
-3
CCarlisle A/P
54.9387N -2.8088E
930
0920
19.07
13
-6.07
14.92
13
-1.92
2021
0
-2021
1023.8
1025
1.2
166
000
166
4
0
-4
RAF Culdrose
50.0843N -5.2571E
900
0850
16.42
16
-0.42
14.60
13
-1.6
888
1200
312
1021.3
1022
0.7
106
090
16
18
14
-4
FExeter A/P
50.7372N -3.4058E
930
0920
17.73
18
0.27
13.68
14
0.32
1864
1600
-264
1023.4
1024
0.6
121
120
1
15
9
-6
RAF Odiham
51.2391N -0.9450E
900
0850
19.10
19
-0.1
15.59
13
-2.59
1870
2400
530
1024.6
1025
0.4
118
120
2
6
5
-1
HGatwick A/P
51.1481N -0.1903E
930
0920
19.47
21
1.53
15.46
15
-0.46
1999
2400
401
1024.5
1025
0.5
96
050
46
7
5
-2
IRAF Wittering
52.6114N -0.4612E
900
0850
19.71
19
-0.71
16.87
16
-0.87
1468
1200
-268
1024.8
1024
-0.8
129
020
109
3
4
1
RAF Fairford
51.68135N -1.79109E
900
0858
19.79
18.3
-1.49
16.52
15.3
-1.22
1734
1200
-534
1024.3
1025
0.7
138
000
138
4
0
-4
JRAF Shawbury
52.7947N -2.6647E
930
0935
20.55
16
-4.55
17.08
15
-2.08
1763
400
-1363
1024.0
1025
1
137
140
3
6
2
-4
KRAF Benson
51.6203N -1.0987E
900
0850
19.98
20
0.02
16.32
15
-1.32
1900
2000
100
1024.5
1025
0.5
138
250
112
5
1
-4
LCambel Town
55.4372N -5.6864E
930
0920
16.33
12
-4.33
14.24
12
-2.24
1007
0
-1007
1022.7
1023
0.3
144
140
4
15
17
2
MRAF Valley
53.2527N -4.5365E
900
0850
19.87
20
0.13
16.67
17
0.33
1379
1200
-179
1023.5
1023
-0.5
168
080
88
7
4
-3
NLydd A/P
50.9561N 0.9392W
930
0920
15.77
17
1.23
12.35
14
1.65
1487
1200
-287
1025.0
1025
0
74
080
6
11
10
-1
ODundee A/P
56.4525N -3.0258E
930
0920
14.37
18
3.63
12.47
15
2.53
888
1200
312
1023.4
1024
0.6
234
220
14
6
7
1
PRAF Kinloss
57.6456N -3.5635E
900
0850
16.48
18
1.52
13.10
13
-0.1
1483
2000
517
1023.1
1023
-0.1
312
250
62
4
6
2
QNorwich A/P
52.6333N 1.3000W
930
0920
19.43
20
0.57
13.35
15
1.65
2437
2000
-437
1025.2
1025
-0.2
178
VRB
0
4
3
-1
SLuton A/P
51.8747N -0.3683E
930
0920
19.65
22
2.35
16.42
16
-0.42
1805
2400
595
1024.7
1025
0.3
142
VRB
0
5
2
-3
TCardiff Intl A/P
51.3967N -3.3433E
930
0920
18.15
19
0.85
14.04
14
-0.04
1804
2000
196
1023.6
1024
0.4
106
110
4
10
9
-1
UNewcastle A/P
55.0375N -1.6917E
930
0920
18.54
17
-1.54
14.01
17
2.99
2246
0
-2246
1024.1
1025
0.9
157
VRB
0
3
1
-2
VBelfast / Aldergrove A/P
54.6633N -6.2258E
930
0920
18.23
18
-0.23
14.64
13
-1.64
1801
2000
199
1022.2
1023
0.8
147
170
23
13
5
-8
WManchester A/P
53.3537N -2.2750E
930
0920
20.54
21
0.46
15.76
15
-0.76
2313
2400
87
1024.1
1025
0.9
130
VRB
0
2
3
1
XGlasgow A/P
55.8719N -4.4331E
930
0920
17.56
18
0.44
14.73
14
-0.73
1445
1600
155
1023.3
1024
0.7
113
VRB
0
3
2
-1
YEdinburgh A/P
55.9500N -3.3500E
930
0920
19.05
19
-0.05
14.81
15
0.19
1863
1600
-263
1023.3
1024
0.7
15
VRB
0
2
2
0
ZHeathrow A/P
51.4775N -0.4614E
930
0920
19.57
22
2.43
15.58
14
-1.58
1844
3200
1356
1024.6
1025
0.4
111
VRB
0
5
3
-2
1Southampton A/P
50.9499N -1.3585E
930
0920
19.64
19
-0.64
13.90
11
-2.9
2328
3200
872
1024.2
1024
-0.2
126
130
4
7
4
-3
2Leeds A/P
53.8618N -1.6653E
930
0920
18.38
19
0.62
14.62
14
-0.62
2077
2000
-77
1024.5
1025
0.5
143
VRB
0
2
3
1
3Dublin A/P
53.4215N -6.2977E
930
0930
16.93
14
-2.93
13.91
12
-1.91
1425
800
-625
1022.2
1023
0.8
129
080
49
10
7
-3
Stornaway A/P
58.2156N -6.3311E
930
0920
13.67
13
-0.67
11.90
11
-0.9
765
800
35
1022.5
1023
0.5
193
120
73
10
8
-2
4Tiree
56.5000N -6.8828E
930
0920
14.21
14
-0.21
13.16
13
-0.16
395
400
5
1021.9
1022
0.1
138
130
8
13
9
-4
5Benbecula
57.4811N -7.3628E
930
0920
12.81
13
0.19
11.78
12
0.22
369
400
31
1022.0
1022
0
142
140
2
11
8
-3
6Ronaldsway A/P
54.0853N -4.6320E
930
0920
13.37
13
-0.37
12.14
12
-0.14
384
400
16
1023.7
1024
0.3
70
090
20
11
9
-2
RAF Boulmer
55.4209N -1.6012E
900
0850
12.41
18
5.59
11.30
14
2.7
316
1600
1284
1024.3
1024
-0.3
148
140
8
6
5
-1
Aberdeen A/P
57.2049N -2.2053E
930
0920
16.81
19
2.19
12.94
12
-0.94
1890
2800
910
1023.5
1023
-0.5
109
160
51
7
7
0
8Coventry A/P
52.3697N -1.4797E
930
0920
20.74
23
2.26
16.98
17
0.02
1932
2400
468
1024.2
1025
0.8
124
VRB
0
5
3
-2
Humberside A/P
53.5744N -0.3508E
930
0920
19.46
20
0.54
15.84
16
0.16
1786
1600
-186
1024.5
1025
0.5
265
VRB
0
2
1
-1
Staverton A/P
51.8923N -2.1608E
930
0920
20.94
21
0.06
16.61
16
-0.61
2123
2000
-123
1024.1
1024
-0.1
134
000
134
6
0
-6
Islay A/P
55.6814N -6.2498E
930
0920
15.54
12
-3.54
13.82
12
-1.82
805
0
-805
1022.3
1022
-0.3
139
140
1
18
17
-1
Eglinton A/P
55.0428N -7.1611E
930
0920
18.78
18
-0.78
13.99
17
3.01
2276
400
-1876
1021.3
1021
-0.3
167
VRB
0
11
2
-9
Doncaster A/P
53.4747N -1.0044E
930
0920
19.37
20
0.63
15.26
16
0.74
1896
1600
-296
1024.5
1026
1.5
321
VRB
0
1
3
2
7Pembrey Sands Stn
51.7144N -4.3675E
900
0850
18.25
20
1.75
14.83
15
0.17
1593
2000
407
1023.3
1023
-0.3
125
120
5
13
10
-3
0RNAS Yeovilton
51.0063N -2.6428E
900
0850
18.81
20
1.19
14.16
13
-1.16
2177
2800
623
1023.8
1024
0.2
123
120
3
10
9
-1


The script is a bit slow, so sometimes the results may not be available as an auto-generated static view.

If this happens, click here to dynamically re-generate the table as a separate page.

If there is a problem with the output, click here to get a copy of the last generated text table.


The following plot will show a running view of the percentage of measures as correct between the forecast and the RASP prediction. Normally for the whole of the UK, 85% or hgher indicates RASP is close enough and can be relied upon.

Regional  Atmospheric  Soaring  Prediction
BLIPMAP FORECASTS For Great Britain
The Webmaster makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information held herein or its fitness for any purpose whatsoever. In no event will the Webmaster be held liable for any direct, indirect, special incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of the information held on this server.
BLIPMAP = Boundary Layer Information Prediction MAP - Created by Dr. John W. (Jack) Glendening, Meteorologist