[ RASP UK Forecast (Stratus) ]




BLIP Quality Check

To help understand if the RASP forecast is matching the real world, an experimental script has been put together that will compare a RASP 'spot' forecast against a METAR observation (a real-world airfield met observation).

These observations are produced hourly or so.

The following table is a summary for the UK, using the script outlined below the table and map. The table is produced from 09:00 to 18:00 on the hour and every half hour during UK daylight hours.

A spatial map of the reports can be found here.


The following plot will show a running view of the percentage of measures as correct between the forecast and the RASP prediction. Normally for the whole of the UK, 85% or higher indicates RASP is close enough and can be relied upon.


This report: 17:41:52 18/10/2018 for this map view. This run created in 50.95 secs

MarkLocationTime
RASP
METAR
Dry
Temp
° C
RASP
METAR
Diff
° C
Dew Pt
° C
RASP
METAR
Diff
° C
Cloud
Base
ft
RASP
METAR
Diff
ft
Pressure
mb
RASP
METAR
Diff
mb
Wind
Dir °
RASP
METAR
Diff
°
Wind
Speed
kts
RASP
METAR
Diff
kts
ARAF Wattisham
52.1239N 0.9573W
1700
1650
13.21
12
-1.21
6.76
7
0.24
2936
2000
-936
1026.4
1026
-0.4
48
040
8
10
7
-3
BCambridge A/P
52.2050N 0.1750W
1730
1720
12.43
12
-0.43
6.40
7
0.6
2792
2000
-792
1026.6
1027
0.4
33
020
13
10
7
-3
ERAF Cranwell
53.0317N -0.5047E
1700
1650
12.08
11
-1.08
6.43
4
-2.43
2580
2800
220
1027.4
1027
-0.4
62
020
42
7
3
-4
RAF Culdrose
50.0843N -5.2571E
1700
1650
13.63
14
0.37
10.53
9
-1.53
1489
2000
511
1025.1
1025
-0.1
90
080
10
11
6
-5
FExeter A/P
50.7372N -3.4058E
1730
1720
13.00
14
1
8.72
9
0.28
2554
2000
-554
1025.5
1025
-0.5
66
040
26
7
9
2
RAF Odiham
51.2391N -0.9450E
1700
1650
13.84
14
0.16
7.48
8
0.52
3166
2400
-766
1025.6
1025
-0.6
45
030
15
10
8
-2
HGatwick A/P
51.1481N -0.1903E
1730
1720
11.81
13
1.19
8.47
9
0.53
1944
1600
-344
1025.5
1025
-0.5
63
070
7
11
8
-3
IRAF Wittering
52.6114N -0.4612E
1700
1650
11.89
12
0.11
7.16
6
-1.16
2522
2400
-122
1027.2
1027
-0.2
67
040
27
6
5
-1
RAF Fairford
51.68135N -1.79109E
1800
1711
10.12
0
-10.12
8.01
0
-8.01
1495
0
-1495
1026.5
1027
0.5
43
050
7
10
6
-4
JRAF Shawbury
52.7947N -2.6647E
1700
1650
11.22
12
0.78
7.69
6
-1.69
2271
2400
129
1027.3
1027
-0.3
127
080
47
3
1
-2
KRAF Benson
51.6203N -1.0987E
1700
1650
12.96
13
0.04
8.01
9
0.99
2525
1600
-925
1026.2
1026
-0.2
53
040
13
9
8
-1
LCambel Town
55.4372N -5.6864E
1730
1720
9.32
9
-0.32
5.03
5
-0.03
2178
1600
-578
1026.1
1026
-0.1
167
140
27
10
4
-6
MRAF Valley
53.2527N -4.5365E
1700
1650
11.31
12
0.69
7.48
3
-4.48
1937
3600
1663
1026.8
1027
0.2
63
060
3
7
7
0
NLydd A/P
50.9561N 0.9392W
1730
1720
13.76
14
0.24
10.11
10
-0.11
1654
1600
-54
1024.8
1025
0.2
43
040
3
15
17
2
ODundee A/P
56.4525N -3.0258E
1730
1720
8.99
11
2.01
5.93
8
2.07
1863
1200
-663
1026.5
1026
-0.5
236
260
24
8
5
-3
PRAF Kinloss
57.6456N -3.5635E
1700
1650
9.31
11
1.69
4.41
5
0.59
2318
2400
82
1025.0
1025
0
196
210
14
11
4
-7
QNorwich A/P
52.6333N 1.3000W
1730
1720
12.71
12
-0.71
7.60
8
0.4
2159
1600
-559
1026.9
1027
0.1
40
010
30
8
4
-4
SLuton A/P
51.8747N -0.3683E
1730
1720
11.25
12
0.75
6.67
8
1.33
2597
1600
-997
1026.3
1026
-0.3
18
020
2
11
9
-2
TCardiff Intl A/P
51.3967N -3.3433E
1730
1720
11.47
13
1.53
8.74
9
0.26
1461
1600
139
1026.2
1026
-0.2
48
060
12
11
7
-4
UNewcastle A/P
55.0375N -1.6917E
1730
1720
8.55
11
2.45
2.98
4
1.02
3235
2800
-435
1027.4
1027
-0.4
190
120
70
3
4
1
VBelfast / Aldergrove A/P
54.6633N -6.2258E
1730
1720
8.18
11
2.82
4.31
5
0.69
2223
2400
177
1026.3
1026
-0.3
181
190
9
10
4
-6
WManchester A/P
53.3537N -2.2750E
1730
1720
10.46
12
1.54
4.86
4
-0.86
3280
3200
-80
1027.2
1027
-0.2
261
VRB
0
2
2
0
XGlasgow A/P
55.8719N -4.4331E
1730
1720
8.70
10
1.3
5.84
6
0.16
1668
1600
-68
1026.6
1027
0.4
213
210
3
5
6
1
YEdinburgh A/P
55.9500N -3.3500E
1730
1720
9.81
11
1.19
5.62
4
-1.62
2271
2800
529
1026.7
1026
-0.7
298
190
108
1
5
4
ZHeathrow A/P
51.4775N -0.4614E
1730
1720
13.73
14
0.27
7.54
8
0.46
3183
2400
-783
1025.7
1026
0.3
54
040
14
10
7
-3
1Southampton A/P
50.9499N -1.3585E
1730
1720
14.89
14
-0.89
6.70
8
1.3
3436
2400
-1036
1025.4
1025
-0.4
45
050
5
10
4
-6
2Leeds A/P
53.8618N -1.6653E
1730
1720
8.01
9
0.99
3.78
3
-0.78
2925
2400
-525
1027.5
1027
-0.5
78
VRB
0
6
2
-4
3Dublin A/P
53.4215N -6.2977E
1730
1730
9.47
11
1.53
6.47
5
-1.47
1935
2400
465
1026.6
1027
0.4
142
140
2
7
5
-2
Stornaway A/P
58.2156N -6.3311E
1730
1720
10.73
10
-0.73
7.54
7
-0.54
1480
1200
-280
1021.5
1022
0.5
196
210
14
17
16
-1
4Tiree
56.5000N -6.8828E
1730
1720
10.50
11
0.5
6.08
6
-0.08
1947
2000
53
1024.1
1024
-0.1
192
190
2
19
15
-4
5Benbecula
57.4811N -7.3628E
1730
1720
11.37
11
-0.37
8.64
7
-1.64
1294
1600
306
1021.9
1022
0.1
195
200
5
25
16
-9
6Ronaldsway A/P
54.0853N -4.6320E
1730
1720
11.87
11
-0.87
6.46
7
0.54
2438
1600
-838
1027.0
1027
0
158
130
28
5
4
-1
RAF Boulmer
55.4209N -1.6012E
1700
1650
10.81
10
-0.81
6.34
7
0.66
2028
1200
-828
1027.5
1027
-0.5
164
130
34
7
5
-2
Aberdeen A/P
57.2049N -2.2053E
1730
1720
7.34
10
2.66
4.31
5
0.69
2006
2000
-6
1025.8
1025
-0.8
170
180
10
9
8
-1
Birmingham A/P
52.4602N -1.7576E
1730
1720
11.29
13
1.71
7.04
7
-0.04
2286
2400
114
1027.1
1027
-0.1
80
020
60
8
5
-3
Humberside A/P
53.5744N -0.3508E
1730
1720
9.91
11
1.09
6.81
7
0.19
1860
1600
-260
1027.7
1028
0.3
34
050
16
6
4
-2
Staverton A/P
51.8923N -2.1608E
1730
1720
10.90
13
2.1
8.09
10
1.91
1852
1200
-652
1026.7
1026
-0.7
46
040
6
7
4
-3
Islay A/P
55.6814N -6.2498E
1730
1720
9.94
10
0.06
5.29
5
-0.29
2214
2000
-214
1025.5
1025
-0.5
181
170
11
13
6
-7
Eglinton A/P
55.0428N -7.1611E
1730
1720
8.57
11
2.43
4.87
5
0.13
2176
2400
224
1025.3
1025
-0.3
184
180
4
8
5
-3
Southend A/P
51.5714N 0.6956W
1730
1720
13.43
13
-0.43
8.49
8
-0.49
2089
2000
-89
1025.9
1026
0.1
49
060
11
11
9
-2
Biggin Hill A/P
51.3308N 0.0325W
1730
1720
11.99
13
1.01
8.00
8
0
2399
2000
-399
1025.6
1026
0.4
61
060
1
11
9
-2
RAF Northolt
51.5487N -0.4169E
1700
1650
15.07
14
-1.07
6.60
8
1.4
3559
2400
-1159
1025.9
1026
0.1
50
040
10
11
9
-2
London City A/P
51.5053N 0.0553W
1730
1720
14.87
15
0.13
7.31
8
0.69
3117
2800
-317
1025.8
1026
0.2
61
040
21
11
5
-6
East Midlands A/P
52.8311N -1.3281E
1730
1720
9.99
11
1.01
6.33
5
-1.33
2299
2400
101
1027.3
1027
-0.3
57
060
3
6
4
-2
Doncaster A/P
53.4747N -1.0044E
1730
1720
10.80
12
1.2
5.62
4
-1.62
2743
3200
457
1027.6
1028
0.4
19
VRB
0
2
3
1
Liverpool A/P
53.3340N -2.8500E
1730
1720
12.30
12
-0.3
5.18
4
-1.18
3181
3200
19
1027.3
1027
-0.3
137
160
23
3
4
1
Wick A/P
58.4589N -3.0931E
1730
1720
8.93
10
1.07
5.93
6
0.07
1472
1600
128
1024.3
1024
-0.3
200
200
0
13
7
-6
Teeside A/P
54.5092N -1.4294E
1730
1720
9.27
12
2.73
3.05
4
0.95
3256
3200
-56
1027.7
1028
0.3
194
060
134
1
6
5
9RAF Waddington
53.1754N -0.5233E
1700
1650
11.41
12
0.59
6.57
3
-3.57
2292
3600
1308
1027.6
1027
-0.6
69
050
19
8
4
-4
7Pembrey Sands Stn
51.7144N -4.3675E
1700
1650
12.75
14
1.25
9.43
7
-2.43
1718
2800
1082
1026.3
1026
-0.3
300
240
60
3
3
0
0RNAS Yeovilton
51.0063N -2.6428E
1700
1650
14.37
14
-0.37
8.62
9
0.38
2716
2000
-716
1025.6
1026
0.4
62
040
22
8
9
1
Oban A/P
56.4635N -5.3997E
1700
1650
9.26
11
1.74
6.04
5
-1.04
1708
2400
692
1025.8
1026
0.2
186
200
14
9
8
-1
RAF Barkston Heath
52.9622N -0.5616E
1500
1450
12.72
0
-12.72
5.99
0
-5.99
3023
0
-3023
1027.9
1028
0.1
32
330
62
6
3
-3
Belfast City A/P
54.6135N -5.8735E
1730
1720
10.50
11
0.5
4.52
5
0.48
2572
2400
-172
1026.5
1026
-0.5
178
170
8
10
7
-3
Blackpool A/P
53.7744N -3.0394E
1700
1650
12.08
12
-0.08
2.28
4
1.72
3987
3200
-787
1027.4
1027
-0.4
106
VRB
0
3
3
0
MoD Boscombe Down
51.1618N -1.7546E
1700
1650
13.44
14
0.56
8.23
8
-0.23
2683
2400
-283
1025.7
1025
-0.7
55
050
5
9
8
-1
Bournemouth A/P
50.7794N -1.8362E
1730
1720
13.21
14
0.79
8.53
10
1.47
2482
1600
-882
1025.3
1025
-0.3
39
050
11
9
6
-3
Shoreham A/P
50.8361N -0.2935E
1730
1720
13.09
14
0.91
8.89
9
0.11
2064
2000
-64
1025.1
1025
-0.1
40
030
10
12
10
-2
Bristol A/P
51.3827N -2.7191E
1730
1720
11.48
12
0.52
8.55
10
1.45
1939
800
-1139
1026.1
1026
-0.1
60
030
30
10
8
-2
RAF Brize Norton
51.7585N -1.5780E
1700
1650
12.59
13
0.41
8.31
8
-0.31
2207
2000
-207
1026.5
1026
-0.5
50
050
0
9
9
0
RAF Coningsby
53.0939N -0.1729E
1700
1650
12.51
13
0.49
6.22
5
-1.22
2639
3200
561
1027.5
1027
-0.5
58
050
8
7
6
-1
Cranfield A/P
52.0722N -0.6167E
1730
1720
12.47
12
-0.47
7.22
8
0.78
2516
1600
-916
1026.6
1026
-0.6
27
040
13
10
7
-3
Farnborough A/P
51.2800N -0.7727E
1730
1720
12.80
14
1.2
7.28
9
1.72
3091
2000
-1091
1025.6
1026
0.4
41
020
21
9
8
-1
MoD Middle Wallop
51.1394N -1.5686E
1700
1650
13.70
14
0.3
8.22
8
-0.22
2732
2400
-332
1025.7
1025
-0.7
49
050
1
9
9
0
RAF Spadeadam
55.0502N -2.5545E
1700
1650
7.29
10
2.71
4.10
3
-1.1
2815
2800
-15
1027.2
1026
-1.2
253
230
23
4
4
0
RAF Leeming
54.2969N -1.5331E
1700
1650
9.99
12
2.01
3.96
4
0.04
3360
3200
-160
1027.8
1027
-0.8
188
020
168
3
2
-1
RAF Topcliffe
54.2048N -1.3901E
1700
1650
10.17
12
1.83
4.53
4
-0.53
3188
3200
12
1027.8
1028
0.2
186
320
134
3
1
-2
RAF Linton-on-Ouse
54.0453N -1.2511E
1700
1650
10.88
13
2.12
4.91
4
-0.91
3129
3600
471
1027.8
1027
-0.8
204
130
74
1
3
2
RAF Leconfield
53.8758N -0.4350E
1700
1650
10.98
11
0.02
7.02
6
-1.02
2121
2000
-121
1027.9
1027
-0.9
34
050
16
3
3
0
RAF Scampton
53.3069N -0.5481E
1700
1650
11.41
12
0.59
6.54
4
-2.54
2347
3200
853
1027.6
1027
-0.6
57
020
37
7
3
-4
Holbeach A/F
52.8733N 0.1385W
1700
1650
12.51
12
-0.51
7.81
7
-0.81
2021
2000
-21
1027.3
1027
-0.3
40
060
20
9
8
-1
RAF Donna Nook
53.4749N 0.1521W
1700
1650
12.44
11
-1.44
7.01
8
0.99
2401
1200
-1201
1027.6
1028
0.4
33
350
43
5
9
4
Hawarden A/F
53.1747N -2.9873E
1730
1720
10.38
12
1.62
5.21
4
-1.21
2786
3200
414
1027.2
1027
-0.2
134
140
6
2
4
2
Caernarfon A/P
53.1042N -4.3403E
1730
1720
10.02
12
1.98
7.13
5
-2.13
1797
2800
1003
1026.6
1027
0.4
17
030
13
7
6
-1
Casement Aerodrome
53.3059N -6.4419E
1800
1700
7.47
12
4.53
4.94
6
1.06
1740
2400
660
1026.4
1026
-0.4
168
060
108
9
5
-4
Londonderry A/P
55.0428N -7.1611E
1730
1720
8.57
11
2.43
4.87
5
0.13
2176
2400
224
1025.3
1025
-0.3
184
180
4
8
5
-3
Donegal A/P
55.0442N -8.3410E
1730
1730
9.87
11
1.13
4.40
4
-0.4
2487
2800
313
1024.4
1025
0.6
181
180
1
13
9
-4
RAF Lossiemouth
57.7114N -3.3235E
1700
1650
9.30
10
0.7
5.05
5
-0.05
2072
2000
-72
1025.1
1025
-0.1
196
190
6
9
4
-5
Tain Range
57.8249N -3.9555E
1500
1450
10.79
10
-0.79
5.44
0
-5.44
2317
4000
1683
1025.4
1025
-0.4
209
180
29
10
5
-5
Kirkwall A/P
58.9578N -2.9050E
1730
1720
9.98
10
0.02
6.08
7
0.92
1788
1200
-588
1023.8
1024
0.2
200
180
20
14
7
-7
Inverness A/P
57.5425N -4.0475E
1730
1720
8.73
10
1.27
4.90
6
1.1
1954
1600
-354
1024.7
1025
0.3
207
210
3
10
9
-1


Table Averages
Difference Averages: Dry: 0.45° C - Wet: -0.39° C - Wind Speed: -2.06 Knots (RASP High) - Wind Deviation: 27.5 Degrees - Pressure: -0.2 mb - Cloudbase: -177 ft
Difference calculations based on actual minus the forecast.
Averages that are greater than +/- 2 Celcius indicates forecast widely differs from actuals.

Table Key
Highlight thresholds: Wind is 30° - Wind Speed is 7 kts - Temperature is 3° C - Cloudbase is 1500 feet - Pressure is 1.6 mb (not reported upon)

Notes and Observations
EGNC (C) Carlisle A/P - METAR report more than six hours old (147 hours) for EGNC - report not usable.
EGWC (D) RAF Cosford - METAR report more than six hours old (25 hours) for EGWC - report not usable.
EGUO (R) Colerne - METAR report more than six hours old (5744 hours) for EGUO - report not usable.
EGBE (8) Coventry A/P - METAR report more than six hours old (10971 hours) for EGBE - report not usable.


The script is a bit slow, so sometimes the results may not be available as an auto-generated static view.

If this happens, click here to dynamically re-generate the table as a separate page.

If there is a problem with the output, click here to get a copy of the last generated text table.

Regional  Atmospheric  Soaring  Prediction
BLIPMAP FORECASTS For Great Britain
The Webmaster makes no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information held herein or its fitness for any purpose whatsoever. In no event will the Webmaster be held liable for any direct, indirect, special incidental or consequential damages arising out of the use of the information held on this server.
BLIPMAP = Boundary Layer Information Prediction MAP - Created by Dr. John W. (Jack) Glendening, Meteorologist